So lets take a look at Mr. Bagwell:
Good Idea: Bagwell was the premiere first baseman in
the NL in the 90s (until Mac showed up at least). Despite playing a long time in the power suppressing
Astrodome, he managed to rack up 449 career HR in 7797 AB for an average of 1
HR every 17.4 AB. For reference, that’s
better than Mel Ott, Joe DiMaggio and Ernie Banks, as well as lots of other HoF
bats. We’re talking great power numbers
here. He was a solid baserunner (6.5 BsR from Fangraphs-not
huge, but good for a big guy like him), great defender (59.1 Tzr) and of course
was a great hitter (405 wOBA and 149 wRC+ and 297 AVG for those who care about
those things). He played 15 years, and
only once did he have a full season that is less than 4 WAR, which was his
second to last year. That means he only
once had a mediocre full season, and played nearly every day for those 15
years. There is no statistical reason
for which he shouldn’t be inducted.
Bad Idea: Bags did play in the steroid era, so all of
his numbers and especially the power numbers are suspect. His rate stats are beautiful, but his raw
totals are small due to playing only 15 years, and him being hurt for the last
few of his career. So it’s hard to
endorse a power hitting first baseman that only had 449 HR, when some other
guys like Gehrig, Foxx and Musial are first basemen in the HoF and all had many
more HR than Bags did. Part of it is the
Astrodome robbing him of some, but he’s also 37th in SLG, below guys
like Carlos Delgado and Lance Berkman who were both contemporaries of his. He’s good, but maybe not quite good enough
for induction.
Verdict: I don’t care about supposed steroid
users. Either they used (Mac, Palmeiro,
Clemens, Bonds, Sosa) or they didn’t.
Yes, we don’t know and will never know for sure. However, I don’t think it’s a bad thing to
induct roid users. The Hall is a place
that remembers its history. Do we really
want to forget how much fun we had in the Summer of 98? I sure don’t.
I had loads of fun, roids or not, and most of you did too. If we aren’t going to induct the best of the
best from that era (with mentioning the era on their plaques), then we induct
no one.
Beyond that, Bags has a score of 183 on my calculator, which
is no doubt automatic induction. By my
mark, that would make him the 4th best 1B in the Hall. The only reason why he isn’t in is due to
bullshit steroid speculation, which as you may be able to tell, I’m tired of.
Here’s what I propose for steroid users: If it’s known, put
it on their plaque so future generations can judge them accordingly. If there is no proof and only speculation,
vote normally. If a player is revealed
as a steroid user after induction, set up a committee to vote on whether or not
he should remain inducted. If the
consensus is No, then ceremoniously remove his plaque. Otherwise, just vote like normal. Please.
It’ll be less stressful on all of us.
And, it looks like there's a new player in the Hall. I'll look closely at this guy next couple of days and get a report on him.
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